Background Body weight can fluctuate during critical illness due to factors such as fluid shifts, nutritional status, the type of acute illness, and underlying comorbidities. We investigated the association between acute body weight variability (WV) and clinical outcomes in critically ill pediatric patients.
Methods We retrospectively analyzed data from patients aged 1 month to 18 years who were admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of a university-affiliated tertiary hospital between August 2017 and July 2021. WV was defined as the percentage difference between the measured body weight at PICU admission and the usual body weight, obtained either from recent hospital records or caregiver reports. Associations between WV and clinical outcomes, including PICU mortality and ventilator-free days (VFDs), were assessed.
Results Of the 926 patients, 74 (8.0%) died. Median WV was significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors (8.7% vs. 0.0%; P<0.001). Increased WV was independently associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.102; 95% CI, 1.073–1.131) and fewer VFDs (odds ratio [OR], 0.599; 95% CI, 0.524–0.684). Combining WV with Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 score significantly improved mortality prediction over either parameter alone (area under the curve, 0.888; P=0.047).
Conclusions Higher WV at PICU admission is independently associated with adverse clinical outcomes, including increased mortality and fewer VFDs. WV could complement existing mortality prediction models in pediatric critical care.
Yunseob Shin, Kyung-Jae Cho, Yeha Lee, Yu Hyeon Choi, Jae Hwa Jung, Soo Yeon Kim, Yeo Hyang Kim, Young A Kim, Joongbum Cho, Seong Jong Park, Won Kyoung Jhang
Acute Crit Care. 2022;37(4):654-666. Published online October 26, 2022
Background Early recognition of deterioration events is crucial to improve clinical outcomes. For this purpose, we developed a deep-learning-based pediatric early-warning system (pDEWS) and aimed to validate its clinical performance.
Methods This is a retrospective multicenter cohort study including five tertiary-care academic children’s hospitals. All pediatric patients younger than 19 years admitted to the general ward from January 2019 to December 2019 were included. Using patient electronic medical records, we evaluated the clinical performance of the pDEWS for identifying deterioration events defined as in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) and unexpected general ward-to-pediatric intensive care unit transfer (UIT) within 24 hours before event occurrence. We also compared pDEWS performance to those of the modified pediatric early-warning score (PEWS) and prediction models using logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF).
Results The study population consisted of 28,758 patients with 34 cases of IHCA and 291 cases of UIT. pDEWS showed better performance for predicting deterioration events with a larger area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, fewer false alarms, a lower mean alarm count per day, and a smaller number of cases needed to examine than the modified PEWS, LR, or RF models regardless of site, event occurrence time, age group, or sex.
Conclusions The pDEWS outperformed modified PEWS, LR, and RF models for early and accurate prediction of deterioration events regardless of clinical situation. This study demonstrated the potential of pDEWS as an efficient screening tool for efferent operation of rapid response teams.
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Background The objective of this study was to evaluate the usefulness of the newest version
of the pediatric index of mortality (PIM) 3 for predicting mortality and validating PIM 3 in
Korean children admitted to a single intensive care unit (ICU).
Methods We enrolled children at least 1 month old but less than 18 years of age who were
admitted to the medical ICU between March 2009 and February 2015. Performances of the
pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) III, PIM 2, and PIM 3 were evaluated by assessing the area
under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, conducting the Hosmer-Lemeshow
test, and calculating the standardized mortality ratio (SMR).
Results In total, 503 children were enrolled; the areas under the ROC curve for PRISM III,
PIM 2, and PIM 3 were 0.775, 0.796, and 0.826, respectively. The area under the ROC curve
was significantly greater for PIM 3 than for PIM 2 (P<0.001) and PRISM III (P=0.016). There
were no significant differences in the Hosmer-Lemeshow test results for PRISM III (P=0.498),
PIM 2 (P=0.249), and PIM 3 (P=0.337). The SMR calculated using PIM 3 (1.11) was closer to
1 than PIM 2 (0.84).
Conclusions PIM 3 showed better prediction of the risk of mortality than PIM 2 for the
Korean pediatric population admitted in the ICU.
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